Value of the stock market of $22 trillion to U.S. Gross Domestic Product of $17 trillion.

Why have we not seen a bear market yet? Simply stated, key bear market components are not occurring-yet. We are not seeing our requisite ingredients for a bear market which are 1-Rising interest rates. 2-Contracting money supply growth (although the velocity of money is quite low) 3-No recession…not yet anyway depending on who or what you believe. So the key ingredients for a bear market are not in place……yet.

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Point de vue de Ray Langevin

Voici bientôt 34 mois que l’or a atteint son sommet de 1900 $ après avoir monté pendant 36 mois. La correction devrait avoir assez duré, mais ça ne semble pas assez. Les fabricants de cycles essaient de nous faire croire toutes sortes de fables, mais il ne se passe rien. Après toutes les montées et  descentes constatées autrefois dans l’or et l’argent, il ne semble plus y avoir d’énergie. L’inaction s’est emparé de ce marché. C’est du moins ce qu’on voudrait nous faire croire. Nous sommes loin des mouvements de 50 $ à 100 $ par jour.

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Ten Points on Gold

CanadianMineAnalysis.com article 1-Many mining stocks actually made their price bottoms last summer and have groped along since then. Others are in the process of finishing making their price bottoms. It is not an “all of them at once” situation; each stock is on its own schedule. 2-The Return of a positive gold market is required to start the engine. We need $1400 to $1450 an ounce gold to really ignite investor interest. At the present, while gold is languishing at the $1250 level, many mining stocks and some juniors are so cheap based upon their in-ground assets and cash per share that they are being given away at their current prices. But at price bottoms in any investment, very few take advantage of the “sale” on the stocks, that will never change. 3-Manipulation in the price of gold bullion continues which has made it extremely difficult to forecast. Paper commodity trades dominate the manipulation which is engineered by central bankers and brokers to keep the price of gold down. When gold moves up, governments cannot easily sell bonds carrying rates at 2% to investors. But the Chinese and others use the weakness to their advantage to accumulate whatever bullion that is offered for sale. The Chinese are nobody’s fools as they see price weakness as a buying opportunity and presently are buying approximately half of the world’s gold production. 4-Gold Cycles? They are positive for gold now as they suggest that gold’s price bottom is being completed. Yes, some important […]

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