“A Late Summer Night’s Scream,” a Bear Market (this time it’s different…?)

The most important elements in our forecasts and outlook are cycles. The cycles that are now occurring and will occur shortly project a harsh bear market for the stock market and a strong bull market for many commodities. For gold, silver, copper and mining oriented stocks, those cycles are positive. The fact is that if the cycles are correct, from the stock markets current valuation levels, it would indicate severe downside risk in the industrial stock market. In the summer of 2008 I was doing research in Montreal and wrote “A Midsummer Night’s Scream” as numerous fundamental, technical and cyclical indicators gave strong indications that we were heading to a severe bear market in most asset classes. On our former Canaminvestor site I wrote that “we might see the largest decline in asset values that the world had ever seen”….. we did! We had that brutal decline and central bank money was “pumped in to save the world’s financial system or so they say. Starting in 2004, for four years I watched the impending disaster develop in businesses, real estate, stock markets and would speak regularly with investment professionals in Montréal, Quebec City and New York. During that time I would speak to a highly regarded writer who was commenting on spending, politics and economics in his syndicated newspaper columns. I phoned him on occasion to compliment the profound accuracy of his columns and would give him my views. In 2010, while driving in upstate New York near Montréal I […]

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Wow! It’s a “game changer” by Harold AGJ Davis, Winnipeg

   Calling something a “game changer” has become commonplace, even trite. However, what should we call a policy shift so profound that it could change the underlying assumptions of equity valuation models?   Without tracing America’s position in the world back to the creation and sponsorship of international institutions such as the IMF and World Bank seventy years ago, simply consider the expectations of corporate management since the collapse of the Berlin Wall.                                                                                                                                                                                                          The last three decades have been characterized by global free trade and the progressive harmonization of rules and regulations worldwide. The business model of the typical S+P 500 company has been that of a multi-national corporation headquartered in the United States.   American enterprise thrived abroad. Backed by diplomatic leadership and the largest military in the world, American political and strategic influence ensured the foreign acceptance and security of foreign subsidiaries and branch plants. The advantages and […]

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Examine all the evidence-not only what business television and the media report.  

There are several indicators that have in the past been accurate in warning of the severity of a looming bear markets. But more importantly when these indicators were at the same levels that are at today, brutal bear markets did follow. Ask yourself how many times this information has been mentioned on business television. The answer is “very very rarely.” It is always after the fact that they are discussed and probed. Why? Putting this informative and valid information out interferes with the volume of brokerage business! Advertisers, the publicly traded companies and funds do not want the investing public made aware of insiders “taking money off the table.” Brokerages do not need a decline in business volume. Last week’s selling by the officers and directors of THEIR OWN PERSONALLY HELD SHARES WAS ONE OF THE THREE HIGHEST WEEKLY AMOUNTS IN DOLLAR VALUE IN HISTORY.  They sold $611,182,948 worth of their own companies’ shares. Comparatively they bought a total of $38,996,025,  1/16th of the selling rate. Moreover, the value of all publicly traded American stocks is currently carrying a value of between 120% and 140% of United States Gross Domestic Product. (There is some double reporting and it is not quite clear). These are levels that have always been followed by bear markets. We are never advising investors to be out of the market; there are always numerous stocks that are significantly undervalued and we are regular bottom fishers. Our advice is to take some profits out of the market […]

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GOLD MANIPULATION CONTINUES-BANKERS DON’T WANT TO SEE IT ABOVE $1300

 From August 11, 2017 Canadianmineanalysis.com                                               LETS SEE WHAT HAPPENS NOW We were told of this devious bankster manipulative “scheme” right after it occurred and have no reason to dispute it. It fits the current gold situation and the evidence has been reported and remains ongoing right before our eyes. We have mentioned in the past that we were told that this Manipulation Scheme for Gold was planned and plotted three years ago in a large east coast American city. Yet, very few people are aware of this flagrant and ongoing manipulation or the 2014 bankster meeting itself.   When and what! At a confidential meeting in 2014, a group of major bankers plotted and resolved that the price of gold bullion should not sell above U.S. $1300 and “steps” would be taken whenever it approached that price. They certainly have taken those “steps” haven’t they?   Watching the specific gold sales being done recently on a major commodities exchange which are actually “paper sales” and not true gold bullion, one sees the manipulation first hand.  It is a high level contrived scheme to keep the price of gold down. One day recently, the sales were equal to approximately forty percent of world gold mine production. As I said “paper” it is. Heaven help the exchange if buyers demand their gold be delivered.   Other sites have reported […]

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Why most investors lose money in gold stocks….(from Canadianmineanalysis.com, August 4)

           ** It requires uncommon thinking and a different approach to invest successfully in gold stocks**    Time and again the majority of gold stock investors fail to  profit. That will continue over the next several years despite our forecast of a major bull market in gold stocks. However, even with gold moving to US $1500 or more which has been delayed due to major banks and brokerage houses’ manipulation, most investors will not be successful.  Yet some will realize large profits. That is the history of investing in gold and exploration stocks for the last forty five years.                          Here are some valid reasons for the lack of investing success The majority of investors become interested in gold stocks long after gold has moved up dramatically. They rarely invest in the stocks when they are selling at multi-year price lows. Yet, at the same time one can find that their managements are extremely large buyers. Their advantage is that they work at these same companies and are aware of the latest developments at their companies and in the mining industry.   The exceptional buying opportunities often occur when specific gold stocks are selling near multi-year price lows. When there is a “sale” on mining stocks and seemingly are being “given away,” few investors take advantage. Based on values and potential they are completely overlooked by all but a few. That is history.   Many investors wait […]

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