Markets..the why,the high,the danger
The U.S. stock markets are trading at levels that are carrying exceptional and dangerous overvaluation. We are attempting to explain what we have seen and how we interpret it. We have no problem with overvaluation in stocks as long as investors take advantage of it and take money off the table. At current prices, too many stocks and sectors are extremely overvalued based upon both their fundamentals and their technical charts. What will follow is a brutal bear market. Yet large U.S. brokerages continue to strongly recommend already overvalued stocks. Yes, we have expected corrections of 20% to 25% to occur over the last six years to be followed by rallies up. This was the normal cyclical and technical expectation from the past decades. They did not occur which would have given institutional and private investors opportunities to accumulate stocks when they are not overvalued and represent solid value. Too many stocks have been bought at the very high end of their five year price ranges. “Paying up” is always proves to be the killer. While we remain quite negative for many of the stocks in the Dow Jones Industrials, S&P 500 and Nasdaq stocks and others as well, we are near fully invested in undervalued and overlooked stocks that have been trading near their price lows. QUESTION ! Why are the stock markets trading at such high levels ? ***The major U.S.brokerages desperately need heavy trading activity, volume and commissions so activity is forced. The industry […]