Long Hard Bear Mkt in process, June 24, 2022
Bear Market finally? Things that we overlook cost us. All of the indicators that we use tell us the same sad story, expect to see a long brutal bear market coupled with a painful bear market for stocks. We try but have been unable to time the market as the central banks have poured cash into the markets for support. Just examine the enormous out of control money supply growth! We are always invested and have never suggested selling everything.-just regularly taking some profits. We are and remain full time investors always looking for undervalued stocks. What has created the problem that will cause much anguish is blindly piling into the big brokerages primary recommendations that have created such ridiculously high overvaluations. That is done by necessity as adequate trading volume is sorely needed by the brokerage industry. Volume in the many undervalued small cap and mid-cap stocks is and would be totally insufficient and cannot offer adequate liquidity. Sadly brokerage advice is dominated by what is popular not what is undervalued and again the brokerages’ need is to address volume for commissions and underwriting fees. Creating overvaluation such as we have seen eventually leads to long bear markets. it is occuring again in our opinion. We can only estimate (guesstimate) but our research suggests that now over 85% of the volume is institutional trading volume. That is not to say that the trading desks own 85% of the shares but rather do 85% of the volume. High Valuations? Price to […]